The weblog of Joshua Drescher

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Strategy vs. Optimism

April 4th, 2008 · No Comments · Politics

More fuel for the Clintonian “he can’t win” fire:

If the Dems used “winner take all” primaries - thus mirroring the Electoral College system that their nominee will face in November - Clinton would have a 120 (1738 to 1618) total delegate lead and a 167 (1427 to 1260) pledged delegate lead.

This, combined with the purple state advantage Clinton has, makes it relatively clear that when Obama wins, he tends to win by larger margins than Clinton, but his wins come mostly from smaller, Democratic-leaning states. This obviously lends credence to the argument that he is the “choice candidate” for Democrats internally within the party while simultaneously illustrating his potential weaknesses as a general election candidate.


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